Many statistical models are widely used to predict the result of a soccer match; the standard predictive criterium of classification is the the majority rule, which corresponds to the mode in a polytomous case. In this study, other predictive criteria are proposed and compared with the modal one. The predictive performances are evaluated considering a set of indicators built from the resulting 3x3 confusion matrix. The data used come from the Kaggle European Soccer Database and refer to the seasons from 2009/2010 to 2015/2016 of the Italian League Serie A.

On classifiers to predict soccer match results

Silvia Golia
;
Maurizio Carpita
2018-01-01

Abstract

Many statistical models are widely used to predict the result of a soccer match; the standard predictive criterium of classification is the the majority rule, which corresponds to the mode in a polytomous case. In this study, other predictive criteria are proposed and compared with the modal one. The predictive performances are evaluated considering a set of indicators built from the resulting 3x3 confusion matrix. The data used come from the Kaggle European Soccer Database and refer to the seasons from 2009/2010 to 2015/2016 of the Italian League Serie A.
2018
978-88-6887-042-3
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11379/509805
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